Just Beyond Thought

justbeyondthought

Dec 82 min read

Trading NVDA, XBT and the Santa Rally

I haven’t been writing about markets for a bit: annoyingly I found it encouraged me to over trade, since I was reassessing on a weekly...

justbeyondthought

Nov 192 min read

The US, and a warning from Brazil (Updated)

Six weeks ago, I compared with striking similarities between Brazil’s monetary cycle to that of the US a year later, and warned that the...

justbeyondthought

Nov 181 min read

18-Nov-24 Trade Report

Report : Succeeded in holding post-election gains, but there was a moment where I was tempted to chase it. The vol drop made...

justbeyondthought

Nov 111 min read

11-Nov-24 Trade Report

Report : It was a good week, obviously… it doesn’t take a genius to be long though an election, and markets were especially ebullient on...

justbeyondthought

Nov 51 min read

5-Nov-24 Trade Report

Feeling good about seeing through the Trump surge (following thin betting markets) which then retraced. Now we’re sat with anyone and...

justbeyondthought

Oct 211 min read

21-Oct-24 Trade Report

I'm in an unhappy spot: I don't like trading net short the market, and I don't like trading unknown unknowns. Still, I'm finding it...

justbeyondthought

Oct 142 min read

14-Oct-24 Trade Report

I’m light, trying to be patient in this pre-Election period. Identified the uptick in inflation expectations but failed to trade it....

justbeyondthought

Oct 142 min read

“By the pricking of my thumbs, something wicked this way comes”: Unknown unknows in markets

I am finding macro hard to trade right now, and hedge prices suggest I am not alone. Three weeks out from a US Presidential Election, it...

justbeyondthought

Oct 71 min read

7-Oct-24 Trade Report

Less than a month to the election, and stocks are at ATH with vix at 22? Geopolitical risks are rising. Feels wrong. Long AI vs SPX: ...

justbeyondthought

Oct 73 min read

The US, and a warning from Brazil

Brazil is not the US. Their economies have wildly different scale and levers, not to mention the golden bullet of global reserve currency...

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